Here are my key takeaways from chapter 2 of Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets:
- Everything is a bet.
- Skill in life is learning to be better belief calibrator.
- Our default is to believe what we hear.
- We generally process information by altering our interpretation to fit our beliefs.
- Motivated reasoning is when a belief is lodged and remains unchallenged.
- Fake news is a planted false story that is meant to amplify existing beliefs.
- Disinformation has some truth with powerful spin.
- Being smarter, more aware or better with data doesn’t help overcome bias.
- View the world through lens of “wanna bet?”
- Communicating uncertainty advances knowledge and invites dialogue.
Leave a comment on Twitter.